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1.
利用阿勒泰地区3个高海拔西伯利亚落叶松(Larix sibirica)采样点的树轮样本,建立树轮宽度区域标准化年表(DKH)。通过相关普查发现,DKH年表与阿勒泰地区7个气象站当年6月平均温度显著相关,相关系数为0.705(P<0.00001),表明6月平均温度是影响树木年轮径向生长的主要气候限制因子。用DKH年表可较好地重建该地区1572-2014年共443 a的初夏平均温度,解释方差达49.6%,经验证表明温度重建序列是可信的。温度变化特征分析表明:重建初夏温度经历了10个偏暖和9个偏冷阶段,其中1605-1622年和1682-1723年分别是最暖和最冷的阶段,1875-1913年和1753-1804年分别是持续时间最长的偏暖和偏冷阶段。存在2.37~2.39 a、2.19 a的显著周期(P<0.05)和73.50 a、14.00 a、7.30 a、2.29 a、2.21 a的较显著周期(P<0.10)。在1684年、1719年前后均出现了由冷转暖的突变。空间相关分析表明文章重建的温度序列对阿勒泰地区温度具有较好的空间代表性。本研究重建的初夏温度序列与阿勒泰西部5-9月平均温度和阿尔泰山南坡温度序列相比较,具有较好的一致性。  相似文献   
2.
基于1979—2020年逐日的NOAA向外长波辐射资料、NCEP/NCAR再分析风场资料,以及全球CMAP再分析降水资料,探讨了气候态亚洲热带夏季风涌的传播过程及与我国夏季相应的降水联系。分析结果表明,主汛期亚洲热带气候态夏季风季节内振荡(CISO)活动是亚洲夏季风活动的主要特征,随时间北传的亚洲热带夏季风CISO称为亚洲热带夏季风涌,主要有南亚夏季风涌和南海夏季风涌。亚洲热带夏季风涌的传播可分为四个阶段。在亚洲热带夏季风涌的发展阶段,印度洋区域低频气旋与对流活跃,孟加拉湾和南海热带区域被低频东风控制,我国大部分地区无降水发生,降水中心位于两广地区。当进入亚洲热带夏季风涌活跃阶段,孟加拉湾和南海热带地区低频气旋和对流活跃,东亚低频“PJ”波列显著,我国降水中心北移到长江以南的附近区域。亚洲热带夏季风涌减弱阶段,孟加拉湾与南海低频气旋消亡,对流减弱,低频西风加强,日本南部附近为低频反气旋控制,我国长江中下游低频南风活跃,降水中心也北移到长江中下游地区,而华南地区已基本无降水,此阶段的大气低频环流场与亚洲热带夏季风涌发展阶段基本相反。进入亚洲热带夏季风涌间歇阶段时,孟加拉湾和南海热带地区低频反气旋活跃,对流不显著,日本南部附近的低频反气旋北移减弱,我国东部基本在低频南风的控制下,降水中心也逐步北移到华北-朝鲜半岛一带,此时的大气低频环流场与亚洲季风涌活跃阶段基本相反。   相似文献   
3.
Statistical tests and error analysis of cloud drift winds(CDWs) from the FY-2C satellite were made by using radiosonde observations.According to the error characteristics of the CDW,a bias correction using the thermal wind theory was applied in the data quality control.The CDW data were then assimilated into the GRAPES-meso model via the GRAPES-3DVar.A torrential rain event that occurred in northwestern China during 1-2 July 2005 was simulated.The results indicate that the CDW data were mainly distribute...  相似文献   
4.
西双版纳地区冬季辐射雾的初步研究   总被引:30,自引:6,他引:30  
西双版纳位于云南省南部,是我国有名的热带多雾地区。雾中能见度低,影响了交通运输,它具有有害的一面;但它对生产高质量的茶叶十分有利,雾和逆温所形成的山腰暖带,又能使橡胶树种植范围向山地扩大,因而雾对西双版纳农林业生产又具有有益的一面。 1986年12月26日至1987年2月18日期间,我们对西双版纳地区的景洪、勐养和勐海等地辐射雾进行了28天的观测,用三用滴谱仪对雾滴谱取样,用GZW-1型低空探空仪进行边界屋温度探测。为  相似文献   
5.
In this work, we study the physical properties of the high-energy (HE) emission region by modeling the quasi-simultaneous multi-wavelength(MWL) spectral energy distributions (SEDs) of 27 Fermi-LAT detected low-synchrotron-peaked (LSP) blazars. We model the jets MWL SEDs in framework of a well accepted single-zone leptonic model including synchrotron self-Compton and external Compton (EC) processes for the jets in a state of equipartition between particle and magnetic field energy densities. In the model the GeV γ-ray spectrum is modeled by a combination of two different external Compton-scattered components: (i) EC scattering of photons coming from disk and broad line region (BLR), and (ii) EC scattering of photons originating from the dust tours (DT) and BLR. We find that the SEDs can be well reproduced by the equipartition model for the most majority of the sources, and the results are in agreement with many recent studies. Our results suggest that the SEDs modelling alone may not provide a significant constraint on the location of the HE emission region if we do not know enough about the physical properties of the external environment.  相似文献   
6.
Variables in open cluster (known distance, age, and metallicity) fields play an important role in stellar astrophysics because they allow to investigate the interior of stars. Therefore, six Galactic open clusters were selected to search for new variables and to complement data for already known variables. As five of these clusters are younger than 40 Myr, we aim at finding variable high-mass stars such as β Cephei and Slowly Pulsating B-type stars as well as classical pulsating stars within the instability strip. About 26 000 images (312 h) photometric images were taken at the 0.8 m (Vienna, Austria) and 1.0 m (Hvar, Croatia) telescope using V and I filters. The differential light curves were analyzed with standard time series analysis methods. In total, 11 variables were found in all investigated clusters. For nine of them, we were able to determine their nature and period. In addition, the membership probabilities from the literature were analyzed.  相似文献   
7.
彭贵芬  段旭  舒康宁  周毅 《气象科技》2007,35(2):252-257
应用人工智能技术——数据库中知识发现(KDD)技术,分析研究发生在云南省境内造成重大损失的气象地质灾害的发生与当日及前期降水的关系。结果表明,绝大多数气象地质灾害都是由强降水诱发的,云南气象地质灾害与发生当日及前期降水的关系主要有3种类型,即暴雨诱发型、多日中大雨诱发型和连阴雨诱发型。所得到的云南气象地质灾害与当日及前期降水的定量关系,为云南地质灾害的气象监测、预报模式的建立提供了依据。  相似文献   
8.
2007~2010年云南GPS观测大气可降水量特征分析   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
利用最新云南地基GPS站观测和探空观测资料分析表明:GPS/PWV和探空大气可降水量变化趋势一致,相关性好;云南省GPS/PWV年内干湿季气候特征分明,湿季开始前GPS/PWV月变率小于干季开始前的月变率;全省GPS/PWV年平均日变化峰值和谷值出现时间一致,勐腊、蒙自和昆明具有准双峰型特征;勐腊站干季、湿季日变化明显不同,其余测站干季和湿季的PWV日变化特征与全年平均日变化特征基本一致。GPS/PWV资料能够反应云南雨季开始期时空演变趋势。  相似文献   
9.
3D numerical simulations have been very useful for the understanding of mantle convection of the earth. In almost all previous simulations of mantle convection, the (extended) Boussinesq approximation has been used. This method is implicit in the sense that buoyancy force and viscosity are balanced, and allows the use of long timesteps that are not limited by the CFL condition. However, the resulting matrix is ill-conditioned, in particular since the viscosity strongly depends on the temperature. It is not well-suited to modern large-scale parallel machines.In this paper, we propose an explicit method which can be used to solve the mantle convection problem. If we can reduce the sound speed without changing the characteristics of the flow, we can increase the timestep and thus can use the explicit method. In order to reduce the sound speed, we multiplied the inertia term of the equation of motion by a large and viscosity-dependent coefficient. Theoretically, we can expect that this modification would not change the flow as long as the Reynolds number and the Mach number are sufficiently smaller than unity. We call this method the variable inertia method (VIM).We have performed an extensive set of numerical tests of the proposed method for thermal convection, and concluded that it works well. In particular, it can handle differences in viscosity of more than five orders of magnitude.  相似文献   
10.
Relationship Between East Asian Winter Monsoon and Summer Monsoon   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
Using National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Centre for Atmospheric Research(NCEP/NCAR) reanalysis data and monthly Hadley Center sea surface temperature(SST) data,and selecting a representative East Asian winter monsoon(EAWM) index,this study investigated the relationship between EAWM and East Asian summer monsoon(EASM) using statistical analyses and numerical simulations.Some possible mechanisms regarding this relationship were also explored.Results indicate a close relationship between EAWM and EASM:a strong EAWM led to a strong EASM in the following summer,and a weak EAWM led to a weak EASM in the following summer.Anomalous EAWM has persistent impacts on the variation of SST in the tropical Indian Ocean and the South China Sea,and on the equatorial atmospheric thermal anomalies at both lower and upper levels.Through these impacts,the EAWM influences the land-sea thermal contrast in summer and the low-level atmospheric divergence and convergence over the Indo-Pacific region.It further affects the meridional monsoon circulation and other features of the EASM.Numerical simulations support the results of diagnostic analysis.The study provides useful information for predicting the EASM by analyzing the variations of preceding EAWM and tropical SST.  相似文献   
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